Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001611 0.001774 0.001937 0.002112 0.002294 0.002478 0.002677
2025-02-16 0.001405 0.001657 0.001918 0.002206 0.002513 0.002829 0.003178
2025-02-23 0.001123 0.001424 0.001744 0.002106 0.002501 0.002915 0.003380
2025-03-02 0.000934 0.001268 0.001634 0.002057 0.002526 0.003025 0.003592
2025-03-09 0.000809 0.001170 0.001576 0.002054 0.002591 0.003170 0.003834
2025-03-16 0.000727 0.001113 0.001557 0.002087 0.002692 0.003348 0.004106
2025-03-23 0.000665 0.001074 0.001553 0.002134 0.002803 0.003535 0.004385
2025-03-30 0.000599 0.001025 0.001533 0.002159 0.002885 0.003686 0.004622
2025-04-06 0.000532 0.000968 0.001500 0.002164 0.002942 0.003807 0.004823
2025-04-13 0.000471 0.000914 0.001467 0.002166 0.002994 0.003920 0.005012
2025-04-20 0.000417 0.000865 0.001437 0.002169 0.003045 0.004029 0.005196
2025-04-27 0.000368 0.000819 0.001408 0.002172 0.003092 0.004133 0.005373
2025-05-04 0.000343 0.000806 0.001423 0.002230 0.003208 0.004320 0.005647
2025-05-11 0.000338 0.000824 0.001477 0.002337 0.003384 0.004575 0.006001
2025-05-18 0.000258 0.000720 0.001367 0.002238 0.003310 0.004541 0.006023
2025-05-25 0.000204 0.000650 0.001299 0.002187 0.003293 0.004571 0.006117
2025-06-01 0.000171 0.000611 0.001270 0.002184 0.003332 0.004665 0.006284
2025-06-08 0.000152 0.000594 0.001271 0.002219 0.003416 0.004811 0.006509
2025-06-15 0.000139 0.000585 0.001282 0.002267 0.003516 0.004976 0.006756
2025-06-22 0.000120 0.000565 0.001277 0.002292 0.003587 0.005106 0.006963
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000536 0.001257 0.002297 0.003632 0.005205 0.007133
2025-07-06 0.000081 0.000507 0.001236 0.002300 0.003674 0.005299 0.007296
2025-07-13 0.000064 0.000481 0.001216 0.002303 0.003716 0.005393 0.007459